DEC 2019 |
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Frank Bernheisel: The View From Here |
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Posted
6.27.22 Just Outside Washington FRANK BERNHEISEL
READING THE MEDIA
I read the Washington Post most mornings at breakfast and watch
NPR after dinner. I supplement this with various media sources
both right and left, of which there are too many, and I can only take so
much of Tucker Carlson's nonsense. The Post, you know that
leftist rag, has many stories and opinion pieces that I disagree with
and many times the tone of what is supposed to be news I find annoying.
I was gratified to see the detail of this morning's Post
reporting on January 6th and to percent day's lead, page one, top left
above the fold, was about what ex-President Trump knew and when. Also,
front page, lower right below the fold, the article was headlined: "Oil
refineries profit now, but future is uncertain". Aside from the fact
that the future is always uncertain, the article had some much-needed
facts about the refinery business, which is now making record profits.
This was partnered with the article on page A-14, headlined: "China
boosts imports of Russian oil". Another interesting and informative
article indicating that shipments of Russian oil to China, year over
year, was up 55 percent in May.
This preamble brings me to my main point, many times it is the Letters
to the Editor, which are the most insightful and creative. This morning,
Steven Bowers of Herndon, Virginia had a letter in regard to the
Post's June 15 news article intitled: "Russia's fuel export
revenue soared in 100 days since invasion, report says" (the link is
live). Mr. Bosers' letter says:
The current policy of sending weapons to Ukraine while continuing to
fund the Russian forces through the purchase of oil and gas allows the
Ukrainians to continue the war, but not end it. The problem with the
Western sanctions is not that they are not tough enough, but that they
are not long enough. The Russians' biggest fear is a long-term lowering
of the price of Russian oil. The biggest threat to the price of Russian
oil is Western energy production. Oil companies, which lost billions of
dollars during the coronavirus pandemic, are reluctant to increase
production to make up for lost Russian oil, because they believe that as
soon as the fighting stops, we will press the reset button and go back
to business as usual. Russian President Vladimir Putin is not worried
for the same reason. The way to make Mr. Putin fear the sanctions is to
guarantee that the sanctions will be long-term. The free world must
agree to impose large tariffs on Russian oil and gas and include these
in a treaty. This treaty must specify a long period of time (at least 10
years). This type of agreement would give energy producers (oil, gas and
clean energy producers) an incentive to increase production. The threat
of this type of long-term agreement would hopefully spur Russia to end
the war. If not, then the agreement itself would be devastating to the
Russian economy.
If this approach was paired with a carbon tax as advocated in this
week's Economist and by James A. Baker III, George P. Shultz, and Ted
Halstead in the May/June 2020 Foreign Affairs and elsewhere, we and our
allies could be well on the way to solving at least two pressing
problems.
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